The US-led Coalition has already conducted more than 14,300 airstrikes against the so-called Islamic State.
The war has intensified significantly. While the US and its allies conducted 5,977 airstrikes in the first year, attacks were up by 39% in year two – with 8,313 additional strikes declared to August 7th 2016.
According to the Pentagon more than 26,000 enemy targets had been damaged or destroyed in the campaign to May 31st. More than 6,500 of these were buildings – illustrating the urban nature of the war.
Among the allies Britain remains the most active partner, with 905 airstrikes so far declared in Iraq and 53 in Syria. France (796 strikes), the Netherlands (an estimated 492 actions) and Australia (roughly 366 strikes) have also contributed strongly.
In the war’s second year the likely number of civilian deaths more than doubled – with 1,080 new fatalities thought likely according to the latest Airwars assessment.
In total, 331 new alleged Coalition casualty events were reported in the past 12 months – up from 193 claimed incidents in year one.
While Coalition actions present a lower risk to civilians than those ofRussia, the Assad regime or Iraqi forces, Airwars still estimates 1 civilian is killed for every 9 Coalition airstrikes – a similar toll to that reported in Afghanistan, and in US covert strikes in Yemen and Pakistan. Yet in Iraq and Syria, the US and allies insist that on average 1 civilian dies for every 260 strikes – an improbable tally given the intense nature of the conflict.
The siege of Manbij in Syria raises new concerns. In July 2016 alone, Airwars tracked 36 separate Coalition civilian casualty allegations in the vicinity – the highest number of reported civilian deaths in two years of war. At least 190 civilians died in those Manbij actions, Airwars presently estimates.
“As the war enters its third year the Coalition will increasingly set its sights on the ISIL-occupied cities of Mosul and Ar Raqqa – where millions of civilians remain trapped,” says Kinda Haddad, head of the Airwars Syria team. “The US and its allies must prioritise the lives of local civilians if they wish to be seen as liberators. Unfortunately much commentary from the ground is now hostile. The single most prominent reason given is the Coalition’s apparent disregard for civilian life.”
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